32 CPUs and how many license fees for OSes?

Everyone knows 4 and 8 socket servers are coming in x months.  You can argue X, I say less than 12.  Everyone knows Y core CPUs are coming, Y is 4 or 8 depending on your chipset and timeframe.  But its safe to say 8 sockets and 4 cores, 32 CPUs in 3 rack Us in 12 months.  This will change the industry forever.

Our customers are going to buy these servers to save rack space, cooling costs, and increase thier compute power.  They will do amazing things with them - for example, take you 30 slowest oracle queries and have them as a maintained view - always ready - to optimize your application in seconds.

And so we move our apps onto them.  And we write new applications that never made sense before, but now a 3 server purchase includes over 90 CPUS....But what about the operating system and license fees?  Do you think customers are going to Pay MSFT $900 for each CPU for an OS?  Do you think they are going to pay Oracle? (Larry Ellison doesn't, its now free on Solaris...as is MySQL and postgres and databases from IBM...)

Calculate what Oracle and a MSFT OS on a 32CPU server would cost you....

They aren't.  Oh and by the way - what countries do you think will buy the most servers in the next ten years?  I say India and China.   Call it a hunch.  Do you think they are going to pay anything for OS, database, or office software?  I doubt it. 

I think they, like a lot of software shops, are going to write agnostic applications, OS and database agnostic, so when the 0 price compression occurs, they can run on the 0 price compressed stack and hardware.  IIS used to cost $900, now its free.  Same coming for databases and operating systems.  In fact we are already there.

And once the mob figures that out, they are gonna demand thats your deployment architecture.

When india and china are going in one direction, you can argue its wrong, but personally, its better to fall in line than argue with that mob.  Wrong or right, they have massive scale.

 

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